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What is the urban exodus, and why does it matter?

Tuesday Dec 8th, 2020

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Context I wrote a lot of articles earlier this year, but started doing more visual analysis for Instagram, Twitter & YouTube to grow my audience on those platforms. I've decided I should write a bit more again. I managed to put together a few data sets aimed at understanding the way people are changing their relationship with urbanized housing as a result of the covid-19 pandemic, and the consequential lockdowns that followed it. The information was well received by the media.... [read more]

The end of the rebound: Covid Weekly York Region Real Estate Market Update - May 2

Monday May 4th, 2020

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The volume metrics I was optimistic about have regressed pretty substantially. Even more surprising is that price seems to show some surprising resilience against the volume challenges in the market right now. I think this is a good thing, but I'm reluctant to give it too much credit right now as it seems to be evolving as a selection bias. Selection Bias in York Region House Price Growth The easiest way to visualize this is by evaluating the price rebound we've seen is to try to... [read more]

3 reasons you shouldn’t get caught up in spring “price growth”

Friday Mar 13th, 2020

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Today’s 3-pointer will be brief, and it could very quickly become functionally irrelevant as the coronavirus panic spreads from grocery stores to real estate viewings. There are 3 statistically-biased reasons you really shouldn’t get too wrapped up in the idea that “spring market” pricing is any different than the other seasons: People – selection bias Product – selection bias Pricing – observer bias I have this... [read more]

3-pointer | The 3 housing buyers most impacted by current market conditions.

Friday Mar 13th, 2020

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I’m going to outline the 3 housing buyer groups most impacted by current market conditions… which are: house prices rising stock market declining declining interest rates If you’d prefer to read this in tweets click here: https://twitter.com/WTFoch/status/1237721132113018886 If you’d prefer to watch me talk about this in less than 1 minute, check out my IG story: https://www.instagram.com/danielfoch/ 1. Small-cap investors: Small cap... [read more]

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