Research

The housing market, measured.

Long-form analysis of the Greater Toronto and Ontario housing markets. Every figure is sourced to a primary dataset, every method is written down, and every chart carries the table behind it.

Latest · October 20, 2026 · 24 min read

Is pre-construction pulling buyers away from Toronto resale?

New homes are 15% of GTA sales this year, double 2025. Like for like, half of presale houses and towns now undercut resale since the HST came off new homes, almost no presale condos do, and resale volumes show no sign of being drained.

Pre-constructionResaleGTACondosPricing

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15.1%

of GTA home sales were new homes from January to August 2026, double 2025 but well below the long-run average of about 25%.

In the pipeline

More research is in progress and will be published here.